Philadelphia Eagles v. Detroit Lions
Detroit comes into this game winners of a gritty one against the Chargers in Week 2. Philadelphia is fresh off a loss to the Falcons that they let slip away late in the fourth quarter. Though Detroit is technically undefeated, they haven’t particularly looked impressive. Philly comes into this one banged up with DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery injured last week, and likely out for this contest. The injuries might be a determining factor in this one, as Nelson Agholor will likely be the highlighted receiver for Philadelphia. If Detroit can lock Agholor down and get pressure on Wentz, the Eagles might have a hard time moving the ball. Combine that with a Detroit offense that is more than capable of putting up points when things go their way, and we might see the upset of the week come out of this game.
- Last Meeting – 2016 Week 5 (24-23 Lions Win)
- Detroit is 7-2 ATS over their past 9 games against NFC East opponents
- Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in their past 10 games as a Home Favorite
Straight up Pick: Detroit Lions
Against the Spread: Detroit Lions +6
Over/Under: UNDER 45.5
Buffalo Bills v. Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati looked fairly impressive in Week 1 as they hung with the Seahawks throughout, however Week 2 was not nearly as impressive as they were demolished by the 49ers. Buffalo on the other hand, comes into this game still undefeated as they knocked off the two New York teams, Jets and Giants. Buffalo will rely on the crafty play of Josh Allen, and the running back duo of Frank Gore and Devin Singletary to attack the Cincinnati defense. Cincinnati has not been able to contain the run this year, so they may find it difficult to handle these backs as well as Josh Allen who can definitely use his legs. If Cincinnati has any chance of winning this game, they will need Andy Dalton and John Ross to keep clicking and putting up stellar numbers. Buffalo’s defense should be up to the challenge though, as they are primed to be one of the better units in the league.
- Last Meeting – 2017 Week 5 (20-16 Bengals Win)
- Cincinnati has lost 6 consecutive games as the Road Underdog, however they boast a 5-1 record ATS in those games
- Buffalo is 7-1 in their past 8 games as the Home Favorite (5-2-1 ATS)
Straight up Pick: Buffalo Bills
Against the Spread: Cincinnati Bengals +6
Over/Under: UNDER 44
Dallas Cowboys v. Miami Dolphins
On paper, this game should be a complete blowout. Dallas has been rolling through their opponents in the first two weeks as Ezekiel Elliott seems to be getting back into form after his contract holdout, and Dak Prescott has been playing near perfect football from the quarterback position. Miami has been a complete trainwreck, and there doesn’t seem to be a lot of hope coming out of South Beach. The Dolphins are making a change at quarterback, as Josh Rosen gets the nod against the Cowboys. Maybe that will give Miami the spark that they have been looking for, but I doubt that will even allow them to cover this massive spread. Look for Dallas to cruise to the W in this game.
- Last Meeting – 2015 Week 11 (24-14 Cowboys Win)
- Miami has lost 12 out of their previous 13 games as the Road Underdog
- Dallas is on a 5 game winning streak at Home when listed as the Favorite
Straight up Pick: Dallas Cowboys
Against the Spread: Dallas Cowboys -22.5
Over/Under: OVER 47
Green Bay Packers v. Denver Broncos
Denver was robbed of a victory last week against the Chicago Bears, as the Bears were able to kick a long field goal in Denver to beat the Broncos on a last second play. Green Bay held off the Minnesota Vikings comeback and protected their 21 point lead that they built in the first quarter. Denver is losing their chance of doing anything this year as they sit in an 0-2 hole early on. They need a victory here, but they are facing a Green Bay team with a lot of confidence. Green Bay has been able to rely on a tough defense to win their first two games of the season. Green Bay will look to make some strides on the offensive side of the ball this week, as Aaron Rodgers and company have not looked overly impressive. The Packers should be able to handle this game at home, but Denver definitely has the ability to make this one a close game on the road.
- Last Meeting – 2015 Week 8 (29-10 Broncos Win)
- The Broncos have hit UNDER for 10 consecutive games – the longest streak in the NFL
- Green Bay is 13-2 over their past 15 games as the Home Favorite (10-5 ATS)
Straight up Pick: Green Bay Packers
Against the Spread: Green Bay Packers -8
Over/Under: UNDER 43
Indianapolis Colts v. Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta was able to find their offensive rhythm in Week 2 against the Eagles after having a dreadful start in Week 1 against the Packers. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones closed the game out in the fourth quarter with a touchdown pass coming via screen play. Indianapolis has relied on their strong defensive efforts to come away with a win last week against the Titans. Indy could easily be 2-0, had they not had issues with the kicking game against the Chargers in the season opener. The Atlanta passing game against the Indianapolis pass defense will be the key to this matchup. The Colts hope to be able to overpower Ryan and Jones and make the Falcons rely on their ground game. If they are successful in doing this, the Colts could come out on top.
- Last Meeting – 2015 Week 11 (24-21 Colts Win)
- Atlanta is 2-9 over their past 11 games as the Road Underdog (3-8 ATS)
- Indianapolis has won 9 consecutive games at Home when listed as the Favorite (5-3-1 ATS)
Straight up Pick: Indianapolis Colts
Against the Spread: Indianapolis Colts -1.5
Over/Under: UNDER 47
Kansas City Chiefs v. Baltimore Ravens
This game is shaping up to be the game of the week, as both teams have looked impressive in their first two games. Patrick Mahomes has looked every bit as impressive as he was a year ago, and Lamar Jackson has looked unstoppable for the Ravens so far. This will be Kansas City’s first home game of the year, so Arrowhead Stadium will be rocking as they try to cheer their team on to a 3-0 start. This game should feature a ton of offense and could be very competitive throughout. Based on the fact that it is in Kansas City, I am giving them the edge, but Baltimore has the ability to keep it close and cover the spread.
- Last Meeting – 2018 Week 14 (27-24 Chiefs Win)
- Baltimore has covered 5 consecutive games when listed as the Road Underdog
- Kansas City is 11-3 vs. AFC North Opponents dating back to 2015
Straight up Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
Against the Spread: Baltimore Ravens +7
Over/Under: OVER 53
Minnesota Vikings v. Oakland Raiders
This game will feature two of the best running backs we have seen so far in 2019. Dalvin Cook for Minnesota leads the league in rushing yards with 265. Josh Jacobs sits 4th on the list with 184 yards. Both teams were able to come away with victories in Week 1, but failed to do so in their Week 2 matchups. Oakland has struggled to defend the pass this year, so this will be an opportunity for Kirk Cousins to right the ship and get this passing game back on track. Defensively, I give the edge to the Vikings who have the ability to shut down any offense in the league. They did it to the Falcons in Week 1, and despite a 21 point outburst from the Packers last week, held Green Bay scoreless in 3 of the 4 quarters.
- Last Meeting – 2015 Week 10 (30-14 Vikings Win)
- Oakland is 1-11 in their last 12 Road games as an Underdog
- Over the past 10 seasons the Vikings are 12-3 and 9-4-1 ATS when favored by 8 or more points
Straight up Pick: Minnesota Vikings
Against the Spread: Minnesota Vikings -8.5
Over/Under: UNDER 43.5
New England Patriots v. New York Jets
The Patriots are going to win this game. They have looked very impressive through the first two weeks, and have only given up 3 points total. The Jets are on their 3rd string quarterback, and their defense was not able to slow down the Browns a week ago. Tom Brady v. Luke Falk is not a very interesting showdown, just like this game won’t be a very interesting one. Look for Belichick and Brady to take this one over early and hand the Jets another loss.
- Last Meeting – 2018 Week 17 (38-3 Patriots Win)
- New England has won 6 straight and 14 out of 16 against the Jets
- The Under has hit 6 consecutive times in this series
Straight up Pick: New England Patriots
Against the Spread: New England Patriots -24
Over/Under: UNDER 43.5