Week 2 has drastically changed the landscape of the football world for the 2019 season. With two of the highest profile quarterbacks, Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees going down with serious injuries, both the Steelers and Saints has much different outlooks. Big Ben is out for the season, so the Steelers will now rely on Mason Rudolph. Brees will miss about 6 weeks and hope that Teddy Bridgewater can hold serve until Brees returns. Either way, both teams will look much less intimidating without their leaders on the field. Aside from that, the picks did quite well once again. We finished in the green in all 3 major betting categories. Against the Spread we were 10-6, giving us a +19% return on investment.
Straight Up: 11-5 (24-7-1)
Against the Spread: 10-6 (19-13)
Points Totals: 9-7 (19-13)
Pick of the Week – Seattle +3 (+160 ML) over Pittsburgh
Failure of the Week – New Orleans +2 (+105 ML) vs LA Rams
Home Teams: 6-10 (5-11 ATS) – 14-17-1 (10-22)
Favorites: 10-5 (7-8 ATS) – 20-10-1 (13-19)
Over/Under: 3 Over – 13 Under – (12 O – 20 U)
Weekly Game Breakdowns
Carolina 14 Tampa Bay 20
Our Picks: Carolina (L) – Tampa Bay +7 (W ) – Under 49 (W )
This was not how Carolina wanted to start their season off. Starting out with an 0-2 record sets the Panthers back and they will have to claw their way back into the picture over the remainder of the season if they want to contend for anything other than a good draft pick. The wet weather definitely played into our advantage on the under, as points were a premium in this matchup. Tampa Bay never backed down throughout this contest, and seemed to have the momentum from start to finish. Carolina had a chance at the end of the game, but the Buccaneer defense held Carolina out of the endzone and stopped them on fourth down to wrap up the game.
Detroit 13 LA Chargers 10
Our Picks: Detroit (W ) – Detroit +3 (W ) – Under 47.5 (W )
This game was a difficult one to watch. Aside from the low score, the game was littered with penalties on both sides. The Chargers had multiple touchdowns wiped away by the yellow flag, and the Lions had drives stalled multiple times, as well as defensive stands extended. In the end, Matthew Stafford was able to outlast Philip Rivers and come away with a gritty win. Darius Slay capped off the Lions win by intercepting Rivers in the endzone. Slay was picked on all day, as Rivers continued to target Keenan Allen throughout the afternoon with decent success.
Cincinnati 17 San Francisco 41
Our Picks: San Francisco (W ) – San Francisco +1.5 (W ) – Under 46 (L)
Despite coming into this game as slight underdogs, the 49ers controlled this game from the very beginning. Jimmy Garoppolo looked very crisp and in control of the San Francisco en route to a 3 TD performance. San Francisco starts 2019 with a 2-0 record, with both wins coming on the road. Though their competition so far, may not be the greatest test (Tampa Bay and Cincinnati), San Francisco has themselves set up in a good spot heading into week 3 as they work on keeping up with the Rams and the Seahawks.
Green Bay 21 Minnesota 16
Our Picks: Minnesota (L) – Minnesota +3 (L) – Under 43.5 (W )
It appears that the Green Bay Packers are back. With a healthy Aaron Rodgers, a new coach, and a much improved defense, the Pack have gotten off to a 2-0 start with both wins coming from within the division. This game started out all Green Bay, as they jumped out to a 21-0 lead early on. After that, the Vikings started scratching and clawing their way back into the game. In the end though, the Vikings could not capitalize and the Packers escape with a 5 point victory.
Tennessee 17 Indianapolis 19
Our Picks: Tennessee (L) – Tennessee -3 (L) – Over 44 (L)
Tennessee had a chance to start 2-0 for the first time since 2008. However, Jacoby Brissett and the Indianapolis Colts had different plans. This game was tight throughout it’s entirety but Indy pulled away with a little less than 5 minutes remaining on a TY Hilton touchdown pass from Brissett. Both Tennessee and Indianapolis sit atop the AFC South standings tied with Houston at 1-1.
Miami 0 New England 43
Our Picks: New England (W ) – New England -19.5 (W ) – Under 49 (W )
This game highlighted two teams that are heading down VERY, VERY different paths. New England has looked unstoppable through two weeks, as they have cruised to two easy victories giving up only 3 points. Miami, on the other hand, appears to be the worst team in the league by far. The Dolphins have been outscored 102-10 through two games. Miami is already rolling into Week 3 as a 20+ point underdog as they head to Dallas.
NY Giants 14 Buffalo 28
Our Picks: Buffalo (W ) – Buffalo -1.5 (W ) – Over 44 (L)
Buffalo has cemented themselves as the best team in the state of New York after completing the Giants/Jets sweep through the first two weeks of the season. Josh Allen had a good game at quarterback as he threw for 253 yards along with 1 passing and 1 rushing touchdown. What has been most impressive for Buffalo in their 2-0 start has to be their defense. Limiting their first 2 opponents to 15.0 points per game. New York continues to reel, and the cries for Eli Manning to be benched for rookie Daniel Jones continue to get louder in the Big Apple.
Pittsburgh 26 Seattle 28
Our Picks: Seattle (W ) – Seattle +4 (W ) – Over 47 (W )
Pittsburgh is sitting in a very rough spot after dropping their home opener to Seattle by a couple points in this one. Not only are they sitting at 0-2 inside a tough division, but Monday news has revealed that Ben Roethlisberger will be out for the entire year with an elbow injury. Pittsburgh’s chance at a playoff run has drastically decreased after the slow start and the news of Big Ben’s injury. Seattle on the other hand, has gotten off to a strong start. After escaping with a win in Week 1 against Cincinnati, the Seahawks made a stronger statement by beating the Steelers on the Road. Seattle will need to keep their winning way going as 2 other teams in their division are also sitting at 2-0 (LA Rams and San Francisco).
Washington 21 Dallas 31
Our Picks: Dallas (W ) – Dallas -5.5 (W ) – Over 46.5 (W )
Dallas has started this season off just how they would like to. They are 2-0 with both wins coming against divisional teams. They are scoring more than 30 points per game, and their stars are performing beyond what was expected. Dak Prescott has looked unstoppable at quarterback and Zeke Elliott is coming back into form.
Baltimore 23 Arizona 17
Our Picks: Baltimore (W ) – Arizona +13 (W ) – Over 46.5 (L)
In the battle of former Heisman Trophy winners, Lamar Jackson topped Kyler Murray by a couple points. So far, Jackson has played at an MVP level as he threw for another 272 yards to go along with 120 rushing yards. Arizona hung around with the Ravens for most of the game, and as we expected covered the spread of 13 points. Murray and head coach Kliff Kingsbury have yet to find the win column early on this year, but the Cardinals seem to be moving in the right direction. After tying with the Lions in Week 1, the Cards were able to hang with what looks like a Contender Ravens team.
Houston 13 Jacksonville 12
Our Picks: Houston (W ) – Houston -8.5 (L) – Under 43.5 (W )
This matchup was one of several low-scoring slug fests that came down to the wire. Through 3 quarters the two teams had only been able to put up 3 field goals as the Texans led the Jags 6-3 moving into the final frame. Deshaun Watson found the endzone early on in the fourth to give the Texans a 10 point advantage. The Jags, did not give up though, tacking on another field goal midway through the fourth. What ended up deciding the game was the Jaguars final drive. Jacksonville drove the ball 68 yards down the field to score what could have been the game tying touchdown. Instead of kicking the extra point with 30 seconds remaining in the game, head coach Doug Marrone decided to go for 2 to either win or lose the game. Unfortunately for Jacksonville, the conversion failed, and the Texans sealed the victory.
Oakland 10 Kansas City 28
Our Picks: Kansas City (W ) – Kansas City -7.5 (W ) – Over 53.5 (L)
This game’s entire storyline can be wrapped up in the first two quarters. Quarter number 1 saw the underdog Oakland Raiders jump out to a 10-0 lead on the high-flying Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders were able to hold Patrick Mahomes to his first career scoreless opening quarter. This quickly came to and end when Quarter number 2 got underway. In the 2nd quarter, Patrick Mahomes unleashed his greatness on the Raiders as he threw for 278 yards and 4 touchdowns in this quarter alone. Mahomes finished with an impressive 443 passing yards and those 4 touchdown passes. Kansas City starts the season off 2-0, with both games coming on the road. Oakland drops to 1-1, and heads on the road for week 3.
Denver 14 Chicago 16
Our Picks: Chicago (W ) – Chicago -3 (L) – Under 40 (W )
It appears that the Bears have found a kicker, and Chicago couldn’t be happier about that. However, Bears fans are still struggling to find confidence in their offense which struggled for the 2nd straight week. They were able to eek this game out on a last second field goal that was set up by a controversial call by the officials. After Denver scored a touchdown with 31 seconds remaining in the game to go up by 1 point, the Bears had one last chance to drive down the field to get a score. They were able to do so, but the last second field goal was set up as the Bears were able to get a timeout with 1 second remaining in the game. Depending on who you talk to, that 1 second may or may not have still been on the board when the timeout was called. Either way, the referees called the timeout, gave Chicago 1 second, and Eddy Pineiro kicked a 53-yard field goal to give the Bears the W.
LA Rams 27 New Orleans 9
Our Picks: New Orleans (L) – New Orleans +2 (L) – Over 52 (L)
This game disappointed many people for several reasons. It was not the high-scoring affair that we had hoped for. There was another controverial call that ended up hurting the Saints. And last but not least, Drew Brees went down with an injured hand and missed most of the game. What is even worse for the Saints, is that Drew Brees looks like he will miss around 6 more weeks of action. New Orleans will now turn to Teddy Bridgewater to hold serve during Brees rehab. New Orleans definitely has a chance at the playoffs, but if they rack up a couple losses during Brees’ absence, the Saints will have an uphill battle if they want to push to the Super Bowl. The Rams improve to 2-0 and look to continue pushing on and repeating as the NFC Conference Champions.
Atlanta 24 Philadelphia 20
Our Picks: Philadelphia (L) – Philadelphia -2 (L) – Under 52.5 (W )
Despite the Eagles team being decimated by injuries throughout this contest, this may have been the most entertaining game of the weekend. The Falcons were ahead for most of the game until Carson Wentz and company were able to put together a couple solid drives and take the lead in the fourth quarter. However, when the Falcons got the ball back, Julio Jones converted on a 4th and 3 and took it to the house on one of the most impressive screen plays I have seen in quite some time. The Falcons held on and get their first win of the season on their home field.
NY Jets 3 Cleveland 23
Our Picks: Cleveland (W ) – Cleveland -7 (W ) – Over 44 (L)
This game looked more like what we were expecting out of the Cleveland Browns than their Week 1 performance did. However, the Jets looked absolutely dreadful, so I still don’t have a great feeling about the Browns quite yet. New York was playing with their backup quarterback Trevor Siemian. Then Siemian went down with what looked like an awful ankle injury (still don’t know how he was walking). With the Jets down to their 3rd string quarterback, they simply couldn’t accomplish anything. Le’Veon Bell did what he could, but the Browns could key on him and hold the Jets offense down. The Browns got some fireworks out of Odell Beckham Jr. who finished with 161 receiving yards capped off by an 89 yard touchdown catch in the 3rd quarter. Cleveland moves on with a 1-1 record, and the Jets roll into week three licking their wounds sitting at 0-2.